Arthur Hayes
Maelstrom
- X: https://x.com/CryptoHayes | ~788K followers
- Personal site / Substack: https://cryptohayes.substack.com
- Company: Maelstrom (CIO, family office) | https://maelstrom.fund
- Authority: Co-founded BitMEX in 2014, which grew to $10B+ in daily derivatives volume at peak, making it the world's leading Bitcoin derivatives exchange. CIO of Maelstrom, a $250M+ target-AUM crypto family office investing in early-stage projects. Publishes widely-read long-form macro-Bitcoin essays ("Crypto Trader Digest") that move markets. One of the most influential figures in Bitcoin's derivatives and institutional history.
- Prediction: Dec 2022: Predicted BTC would bottom around $15K–$16K and recover strongly in 2023. Hit — BTC bottomed ~$15.5K Nov 2022, recovered to $30K+ mid-2023. Early 2024: Predicted $70K–$75K around the April 2024 halving. Hit — BTC hit ~$73K March 2024. Jan 2023 (Maelstrom blog): Predicted BTC reaching $1M by 2026 citing dollar debasement and Fed pivot. Pending.
- Methodology: Macro geopolitical and monetary analysis — tracks Fed policy, global dollar liquidity, geopolitical shifts (US-China decoupling), and Bitcoin's role as a sovereign-neutral reserve asset. Writes extensively on crypto market structure, derivatives positioning, and mining economics.
- Media: Bloomberg, CoinDesk, The Block, Decrypt, Financial Times
- Decision: auto_approved Tier 1 — BitMEX co-founder, Maelstrom CIO, 788K followers, institutional macro methodology, quoted by Bloomberg/CoinDesk.
Affiliation
Maelstrom
AUM / Assets
$250M target AUM
Methodology
Uses a documented prediction methodology
Price Predictions (0)
No predictions on record for this author.